15 Battleground Counties to Watch in the 2024 Presidential Election

Factors like demographics and turnout in this group of counties could play critical roles in the outcome of this year’s race for the White House – or in U.S. politics beyond.

By Louis Jacobson
The presidential election officially is decided by the states through the Electoral College. But to fully understand the race’s dynamics, it also helps to look one level down – at counties.

That’s what U.S. News has done through a series examining 15 battleground counties that could prove crucial in this year’s race for the White House – now pitting Vice President Kamala Harris against former President Donald Trump – or that otherwise portray illuminating political trends.

Eleven of the 15 counties are located in the seven presidential swing states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – on the logic that a county’s electoral leverage is greater when it sits in the most competitive states. Three of the remaining four counties are in large states that are on the periphery of competitiveness – Florida and Texas – and one county is in a category all its own because it sits in Nebraska, which allocates some of its electoral votes by congressional district.

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